According to a UN forecast (“Medium Fertility Variant”) from 2019, there will be a drastic demographic change and over 9.7 billion people living on Earth in 2050 and around 10.9 billion in 2100. The world’s population currently stands at 8.0 billion people.
Just over 70 years ago (1950), we were just two and a half billion people.
Global demographic change
The “demographic change or factor” is generally referred to the ageing of modern society: the change from the traditional pattern: high birth rates – high death rates – short life expectancy to the new pattern: low birth rates – low death rates – long life expectancy.
In the western world, but also in China and other countries, this transition is creating huge social adjustment problems. More and more young people have to care for more and more old people. The shortage of labor that is already noticeable in some sectors today will worsen dramatically after 2030. Both the need for immigration and the pressure to immigrate will increase (according to UN calculations, the EU needs 1.6 million immigrants per year to keep its labor pool constant).
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